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Political Science’s Justin Buchler says Senate races are harder to predict than presidential elections

Media | November 06, 2026 | Story by: Editorial Staff

Prediction markets, polls took different paths to the right answers in Ohio’s midterms

Ideastream: Justin Buchler, associate professor of political science in the College of Arts and Sciences, said election forecasting models for presidential races can be fairly accurate, but other races, including the U.S. Senate, can swing based on a variety of factors that are harder to predict.