Ashland County - April 7, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

After a gradual rise in early March, Rt appears to have gradually returned to a level comfortably below 1.0.


Projected Incidence

Case numbers are expected to decrease minimally in the coming 2 weeks, though there is some uncertainty given the small population size of the county.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing increases.


Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

Despite a late-February/early-March gradual rise, the ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have remained consistently low over the last 6 weeks.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate