Ashland County - March 26, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

Rt appears to have been trending gradually upward for the last 6 weeks.  Whether Rt subsides or rises above 1.0 remains to be seen.

Projected Incidence

Daily incidence appears most likely to decrease slightly in the coming two weeks, though considerable uncertainty exists.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing increases.

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have been slowly increasing over the last 6 weeks.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.