Ashtabula County - April 7, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

Rt appears to have been below 1.0 throughout March, but this estimate is considered somewhat unreliable given sporadic patterns of reported cases in the county

 

Projected Incidence

Incidence appears most likely to remain at similar levels, but this estimate is considered unreliable given sporadic patterns of reported cases in the county.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing increases.

 

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to remain low, but this estimate is considered unreliable given sporadic patterns of reported cases in the county.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.