Auglaize County - April 22, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

Rt appears to have oscillated around 1.0 over the past month.

 

Projected Incidence

Daily incidence is expected to gradually trend upward, though there is considerable uncertainty given the small population size of the county.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing large increases.

 

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have risen steadily over the past month to moderately elevated levels.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.