Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)
Rt has undulated near 1.0 for most of March.
Projected Incidence
Following a surge in late March, and despite moderate uncertainty, it appears most likely that daily case counts will decline in the coming two weeks. Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing increases.
Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio
The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases has been on a gradual rise since mid-March. A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.