Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)
The most recent data suggests an Rt remaining below 1.0 since mid-January but rising steeply over the last week.
Projected Incidence
Daily incidence appears most likely to climb somewhat in the coming two weeks. Masking and social distancing will be critical to reversing this trend.
Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio
The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have remained consistently low over the last 6 weeks but is showing early signs of an increase. A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.