Defiance County - April 22, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

For the first time in 6 weeks, Rt appears to have risen to a level of 1.0 in recent days.

 

Projected Incidence

Daily incidence appears most likely to remain at similar levels for the next 2 weeks, though there is substantial uncertainty given the small population size of the county.

 

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The county has seen a substantial increase in the estimated ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases in the past 1-2 weeks.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.