Defiance County - April 8, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

Rt has risen gradually through much of March but appears to remain below 1.0, however, this estimate is considered somewhat unreliable given sporadic patterns of reported cases in the county and small population size.

 

Projected Incidence

Incidence appears most likely to remain at similar levels, but there is some uncertainty given sporadic patterns of reported cases in the county and small population size.   Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing increases.

 

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases has been on a gradual rise since mid-March but remains at relatively low levels.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.