Defiance County - May 5, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

Rt appears to have stayed below 1.0 for the past 3 weeks.

 

Projected Incidence

Daily case counts are expected to remain at similar levels, although considerable uncertainty exists given the small population size of the county.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing increases.

 

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

After an April rise, the ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have returned to a normal level in the past 1-2 weeks.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.