Erie County - March 3, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

The most recent data suggests an Rt remaining below 1.0 since mid January but rising steeply over the last week.

Projected Incidence

Daily incidence appears most likely to continue to decline slightly in the coming two weeks.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to maintaining this momentum and preventing a reversal of this progress.

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have remained at consistently low levels over the last 6 weeks.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.