Geauga County - April 8, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

After remaining well below 1.0 for several weeks, Rt appears to have risen to around 1.0 in the last week.  This estimate is considered somewhat unreliable given sporadic patterns of reported cases in the county and small population size.

 

Projected Incidence

Incidence appears most likely to remain at similar levels, but there is some uncertainty given sporadic patterns of reported cases in the county and small population size.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing increases.

 

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases has risen substantially in the last week.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.