Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)
After remaining at low levels for several weeks, Rt has undulated around 1.0 for the last 2 weeks. However, this estimate is considered somewhat unreliable given sporadic patterns of reported cases in the county.
Projected Incidence
Daily case counts appear likely to rise in the coming 2 weeks, but there is some uncertainty given sporadic patterns of reported cases in the county and small population. Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing significant increases.
Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio
The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases has risen substantially in the last week. A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.
