Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)
Rt appears to have been trending gradually upward for approximately the last month. Whether Rt subsides or stays above 1.0 remains to be seen.
Projected Incidence
Daily incidence appears likely to increase in the coming two weeks., though there is considerable uncertainty as to the extent of this increase. Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing significant increases.
Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio
The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have risen sharply in the last 1-2 weeks. A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.