Holmes County - April 28, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

Rt appears to have been at levels above 1.0 for most of the past 2-3 weeks.

Projected Incidence

A rise in cases is expected, though considerable uncertainty exists given the small population size of the county.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing large increases.

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have been substantially elevated over the past 2-3 weeks.  A low ratio facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.