Holmes County - April 8, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

After remaining at low levels for several weeks, Rt has undulated around 1.0 and then declined during last 2 weeks.

Projected Incidence

Following a surge in late March, and despite moderate uncertainty, it appears most likely that daily case counts will decline in the coming two weeks.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing increases.

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to remain low.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.