Lake County - April 20, 2020

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

Rt has risen closer to 1.0 over the past 3 weeks, after remaining below 1.0 in March.

Projected Incidence

Daily incidence is most likely to decrease in the coming two weeks.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing increases.

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have risen since late March, with a decrease in the last 1-2 weeks. A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.