Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)
Rt has undulated below 1.0 for most of March, with a recent spike above 1.0.
Projected Incidence
Following a surge in late March, and despite moderate uncertainty, it appears most likely that daily case counts will remain stable the coming two weeks. Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing increases.
Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio
The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases has risen gradually since late March. A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.
