Lorain County - March 26, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

The most recent data suggests an Rt fluctuating, but generally remaining below 1.0.

Projected Incidence

Daily incidence appears likely to increase in the coming two weeks., though there is considerable uncertainty as to the extent of this increase.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing significant increases.

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have remained consistently low over the last 6 weeks.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.