Lucas County - February 24, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

The most recent data suggests an Rt remaining below 1.0 since early January.  Whether a recent trend upward will remain sustained remains to be seen.

Projected Incidence

Daily incidence appears most likely to increase in the coming two weeks.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical.

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have remained largely stable at relatively low levels over the last 6 weeks.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.