Lucas County - March 3, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

The most recent data suggests an Rt above 1.0 since late February. An increase in Rt is projected in the next two weeks.

Projected Incidence

Daily incidence appears to be increasing since mid of February and it looks like to continue to increase in the coming two weeks.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical.

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have remained largely stable at relatively low levels over the last 6 weeks.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.