Mahoning County - March 26, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

The most recent data suggests an Rt remaining below 1.0 but increasing in the past 1-2 weeks.

Projected Incidence

Daily incidence appears most likely to remain at similar levels in the coming two weeks, but with considerable uncertainty.  Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing substantial increases.

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have remained consistently low over the last 6 weeks.  A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate