Seneca County - April 20, 2021

Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)

Rt seems to have risen substantially above 1.0 in the past 1-2 weeks, though there is some uncertainty stemming from small county size and sporadic reported daily case numbers.

Projected Incidence

Daily case counts are expected to remain at similar levels, though the above-described uncertainty should be noted.

Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio

It is unclear whether the recent brief spike in the ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases represents an artifact of reporting anomalies or stems from a fundamental epidemiologic trend.  A similar increase has been seen in some neighboring counties.