Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)
The most recent data suggests an Rt spiking briefly above 1.0 in early March, though this may be an artifact of reporting anomalies around that time.
Projected Incidence
Daily incidence appears most likely to continue a gradual decline in the coming two weeks. Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to maintaining this momentum.
Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio
The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have remained generally low over the past 6 weeks. A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.
