Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)
After remaining below 1.0 throughout most of the past 6 weeks, Rt has taken a sharp increase in recent days.
Projected Incidence
Incidence appears likely to remain level in the coming two weeks, though considerable statistical uncertainty exists given the relatively small population of the county. Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to preventing significant increases.
Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio
The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases appears to have remained low over the past 6 weeks until taking a sharp increase in recent days. Whether this will represent a sustained increase remains to be seen. A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.
