Effective Reproduction Number (Rt)
The most recent data suggests an Rt rising around 1.0 in early March but since declining.
Projected Incidence
Incidence appears most likely to decline slightly in the coming two weeks, though considerable statistical uncertainty exists given the relatively small population of the county. Continued masking and social distancing will be critical to maintaining this momentum.
Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Ratio
The ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases has shown a slight increase during March. A low ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic cases facilitates mitigation efforts since symptomatic individuals usually isolate.
